Author : E.J. Visser
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 653 pages
File Size : 47,68 MB
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9400997078
Proceedings of the 3rd World Conference on Transport Research, Rotterdam, The Netherlands, April 1977
Author : Luis G. Willumsen
Publisher :
Page : 215 pages
File Size : 45,8 MB
Release : 2014-07-26
Category : Transportation
ISBN : 9780992843304
Demand and revenue forecasting for transport concessions has an inconsistent track record. There are several reasons for this: a possible optimism bias, the inherent uncertainty in any forecast, limited data and a poor choice of modelling tools. Therefore any better approach must acknowledge these constraints from the outset and be adapted to deal with revenue risk. This book addresses these issues on the basis of 20 years of international experience producing Traffic and Revenue projections for a range of transport concessions: Toll Roads, Managed Lanes, LRT, BRT, Metro and Rail projects with involvement of the private sector. It includes an additional chapter on Congestion Charging. The book is divided into three parts. Part I covers the context for the participation of the private sector and the requirements posed for demand forecasting. Part II is more technical and describes the strengths and limitations of the modelling tools used in both conventional and Traffic and Revenue forecasting models; it deals with issues like induced traffic, destination, mode and time of travel choice and, of course, discusses assignment in detail; willingness to pay is central to this part. Part III covers the practice of producing forecasts for different types of concessions: sound assumptions, modelling price and means of payment, growth models, treatment of congestion and travel time reliability, optimal pricing, annualisation, inflation and tariff escalation. This part also deals with the critical issue of future uncertainty with suggestions for peer reviews, sensitivity test, risk analysis and scenario planning. The book should be of interest to professionals working in procuring authorities preparing a transport concession, consortia bidding for such projects and financial specialists seeking to get a better understanding of the techniques used for Traffic and Revenue forecasting. Planners developing projects where price and revenue risk are important will also gain useful insights. The text contains a large number of tables and figures, all in colour, and suggestions on writing a good Final Report. A website, www.bettertandr.com, complements the book. About the author Dr. Luis (Pilo) Willumsen has 15 years of experience in transport teaching and research plus two decades producing traffic and revenue projections for more than 50 different private sector projects in over 30 countries. He is co-author of Modelling Transport, a Wiley text describing the state of the art in the field and now in its fourth edition; he has also made some helpful contributions to modelling and forecasting techniques. He is currently an independent consultant and a Visiting Professor at University College London.
Author : Ian S. Kincaid
Publisher : Transportation Research Board
Page : 147 pages
File Size : 42,88 MB
Release : 2012
Category : Transportation
ISBN : 030925857X
This report provides a guidebook on how to develop air traffic forecasts in the face of a broad range of uncertainties. It is targeted at airport operators, planners, designers, and other stakeholders involved in planning, managing, and financing of airports, and it provides a systems analysis methodology that augments standard master planning and strategic planning approaches. This methodology includes a set of tools for improving the understanding and application of risk and uncertainty in air traffic forecasts as well as for increasing overall effectiveness of airport planning and decision making. In developing the guidebook, the research team studied existing methods used in traditional master planning as well as methods that directly address risk and uncertainty, and based on that fundamental research, they created a straightforward and transparent systems analysis methodology for expanding and improving traditional planning practices, applicable through a wide range of airport sizes. The methods presented were tested through a series of case study applications that also helped to identify additional opportunities for future research and long-term enhancements.
Author : David S. Kriger
Publisher : Transportation Research Board
Page : 113 pages
File Size : 46,47 MB
Release : 2006
Category : Transportation
ISBN : 0309097762
Author : Gregory D. Erhardt
Publisher :
Page : pages
File Size : 15,35 MB
Release : 2020
Category : Traffic flow
ISBN : 9780309481434
Accurate traffic forecasts for highway planning and design help ensure that public dollars are spent wisely. Forecasts inform discussions about whether, when, how, and where to invest public resources to manage traffic flow, widen and remodel existing facilities, and where to locate, align, and how to size new ones. The TRB National Cooperative Highway Research Program's NCHRP Report 934: Traffic Forecasting Accuracy Assessment Research seeks to develop a process and methods by which to analyze and improve the accuracy, reliability, and utility of project-level traffic forecasts. The report also includes tools for engineers and planners who are involved in generating traffic forecasts, including: Quantile Regression Models, a Traffic Accuracy Assessment, a Forecast Archive Annotated Outline, a Deep Dive Annotated Outline, and Deep Dive Assessment Tables.
Author : International Bridge, Tunnel, and Turnpike Association
Publisher :
Page : 112 pages
File Size : 16,47 MB
Release : 1998
Category : Bridges
ISBN :
Author : Herbert T. Spiro
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 324 pages
File Size : 47,40 MB
Release : 1996-04-11
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780471127888
Finance for the Nonfinancial Manager, Fourth Edition. If you're a manager, odds are you're playing a larger and moreimportant role in the financial matters of your company. As today'smarketplace becomes increasingly competitive, it's essential thatall managers have a basic understanding of the tools, objectives,and functions of finance if they are to stay ahead of thecompetition. Covering the gamut of the "numbers" end of management,Finance for the Nonfinancial Manager helps you develop a soundbasis for carrying out strategic financial planning anddecision-making responsibilities. This comprehensive reference has served as an indispensable guidefor executives, managers, and small business owners for almost twodecades. Now in its fourth edition, this classic has been updatedto reflect the latest federal tax and regulatory legislation, andit is filled with new charts, tables, and examples suitable for theneeds of today's manager. From basic economic concepts toaccounting conventions, the broad range of topics examined inFinance for the Nonfinancial Manager include: cash flow management,banking relationships, security markets, credit policies, andcapital acquisition. You'll also find practical guidelines for suchimportant skills as how to: * Interpret balance sheets. * Design budgets and P & Ls. * Apply break-even analyses. * Decipher financial statements. Now more than ever, being a manager in the competitive marketplacerequires a solid understanding of key aspects of finance. Thisrevised and expanded edition of Finance for the NonfinancialManager shows you how to get a handle on the basic concepts andprinciples you need to run and maintain a successful business.
Author : International Bridge, Tunnel, and Turnpike Association. Meeting & Exhibition
Publisher :
Page : 110 pages
File Size : 27,44 MB
Release : 1998
Category : Toll bridges
ISBN :
Author : Robert Bain
Publisher : Lulu.com
Page : 126 pages
File Size : 44,65 MB
Release : 2009
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0956152716
Toll roads, bridges and tunnels represent the most popular class of infrastructure attracting international private finance today. Many deals, however, expose financiers, insurers and other project counterparties to demand risk. This moves traffic and revenue forecasts centre-stage in terms of being able to understand and test the investment proposition - yet the forecasting process itself often remains a mystery. Additionally, there are frequent concerns about predictive reliability. Written specifically for credit analysts, investors and other professionals whose primary expertise lies outside transportation, this book lifts the lid on the 'black box' of traffic and revenue forecasting. The author, Robert Bain (ex-S&P and a civil engineer with 20+ years of forecasting experience) has prepared a straightforward guide which highlights key issues to watch for and suggests ways in which the forecasts can be analysed to improve transparency and investor understanding.
Author : Martin Hopkinson
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
Page : 265 pages
File Size : 13,19 MB
Release : 2017-03-02
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1351883461
Top businesses recognise risk management as a core feature of their project management process and approach to the governance of projects. However, a mature risk management process is required in order to realise its benefits; one that takes into account the design and implementation of the process and the skills, experience and culture of the people who use it. To be mature in the way you manage risk you need an accepted framework to assess your risk management maturity, allowing you to benchmark against a recognised standard. A structured pathway for improvement is also needed, not just telling you where you are now, but describing the steps required to reach the next level. The Project Risk Maturity Model detailed here provides such an assessment framework and development pathway. It can be used to benchmark your project risk processes and support the introduction of effective in-house project risk management. Using this model, implementation and improvement of project risk management can be managed effectively to ensure that the expected benefits are achieved in a way that is appropriate to the needs of each organisation. Martin Hopkinson has developed The Project Risk Maturity Model into a robust framework, and this book allows you to access and apply his insights and experience. A key feature is a downloadable resource containing a working copy of the QinetiQ Project Risk Maturity Model (RMM). This will enable you to undertake maturity assessments for as many projects as you choose. The RMM has been proven over a period of 10 years, with at least 250 maturity assessments on projects and programmes with a total value exceeding £60 billion. A case study in the book demonstrates how it has been used to deliver significant and measurable benefits to the performance of major projects.
