Uncertainty, International Money, Employment and Theory


Book Description

The book contains Paul Davidson's major contributions to the economics and policy debates of our times. The relationship between uncertainty, economic theory, international financial markets and global unemployment is analysed throughout. Davidson suggests new solutions for the major problems of the twenty-first century, including volatile financial markets in Asia and beyond, challenging orthodox responses. The differences between the Old-, New-, and Post-Keynesians all vying for Keynes's mantle, are explored.




General Theory Of Employment , Interest And Money


Book Description

John Maynard Keynes is the great British economist of the twentieth century whose hugely influential work The General Theory of Employment, Interest and * is undoubtedly the century's most important book on economics--strongly influencing economic theory and practice, particularly with regard to the role of government in stimulating and regulating a nation's economic life. Keynes's work has undergone significant revaluation in recent years, and "Keynesian" views which have been widely defended for so long are now perceived as at odds with Keynes's own thinking. Recent scholarship and research has demonstrated considerable rivalry and controversy concerning the proper interpretation of Keynes's works, such that recourse to the original text is all the more important. Although considered by a few critics that the sentence structures of the book are quite incomprehensible and almost unbearable to read, the book is an essential reading for all those who desire a basic education in economics. The key to understanding Keynes is the notion that at particular times in the business cycle, an economy can become over-productive (or under-consumptive) and thus, a vicious spiral is begun that results in massive layoffs and cuts in production as businesses attempt to equilibrate aggregate supply and demand. Thus, full employment is only one of many or multiple macro equilibria. If an economy reaches an underemployment equilibrium, something is necessary to boost or stimulate demand to produce full employment. This something could be business investment but because of the logic and individualist nature of investment decisions, it is unlikely to rapidly restore full employment. Keynes logically seizes upon the public budget and government expenditures as the quickest way to restore full employment. Borrowing the * to finance the deficit from private households and businesses is a quick, direct way to restore full employment while at the same time, redirecting or siphoning







Finance & Development, September 2014


Book Description

This chapter discusses various past and future aspects of the global economy. There has been a huge transformation of the global economy in the last several years. Articles on the future of energy in the global economy by Jeffrey Ball and on measuring inequality by Jonathan Ostry and Andrew Berg are also illustrated. Since the 2008 global crisis, global economists must change the way they look at the world.




The Commanding Heights


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Uncertainty and Unemployment


Book Description

We study the role of uncertainty shocks in explaining unemployment dynamics, separating out the role of aggregate and sectoral channels. Using S&P500 data from the first quarter of 1957 to third quarter of 2014, we construct separate indices to measure aggregate and sectoral uncertainty and compare their effects on the unemployment rate in a standard macroeconomic vector autoregressive (VAR) model. We find that aggregate uncertainty leads to an immediate increase in unemployment, with the impact dissipating within a year. In contrast, sectoral uncertainty has a long-lived impact on unemployment, with the peak impact occurring after two years. The results are consistent with a view that the impact of aggregate uncertainty occurs through a “wait-and-see” mechanism while increased sectoral uncertainty raises unemployment by requiring greater reallocation across sectors.




Risk, Uncertainty and Profit


Book Description

A timeless classic of economic theory that remains fascinating and pertinent today, this is Frank Knight's famous explanation of why perfect competition cannot eliminate profits, the important differences between "risk" and "uncertainty," and the vital role of the entrepreneur in profitmaking. Based on Knight's PhD dissertation, this 1921 work, balancing theory with fact to come to stunning insights, is a distinct pleasure to read. FRANK H. KNIGHT (1885-1972) is considered by some the greatest American scholar of economics of the 20th century. An economics professor at the University of Chicago from 1927 until 1955, he was one of the founders of the Chicago school of economics, which influenced Milton Friedman and George Stigler.




Financial Markets, Money, and the Real World


Book Description

Financial Markets, Money and the Real World by Paul Davidson is an informed and informative study of why the 1990s experienced a series of financial crises with terrible repercussions that reverberated throughout the global market. Focusing on the central role that domestic and international financial markets play in affecting the economic growth rate, and offering prescriptions to improve worldwide economic viability in the 21st century, Financial Markets, Money and the Real World is highly practical, forward thinking, and strongly recommended reading for students of economics in general, and the interactive, interdependent global financial markets in particular. Library Bookwatch/Midwest Book Review In Financial Markets, Money and the Real World Professor Davidson lucidly and persuasively sums up his major insights into the working of non-ergodic (uncertain) economic systems. It is essential reading for those who wish to understand why financial markets have become so volatile and are puzzled to know what to do about it. It is refreshing to read an author who writes so much in the spirit of Keynes and who is able and willing to develop Keynes s ideas creatively and apply them imaginatively to the understanding and management of today s globalized economy. Lord Skidelsky, University of Warwick, UK This book should be a classic in economics. Paul Davidson combines dazzling clarity and a passion for economic truth and common sense in illuminating the dark thickets surrounding today s free enterprise system. Professional economists and concerned citizens should both pay heed to this fine book. Peter L. Bernstein, Peter L. Bernstein Inc., US Professor Paul Davidson has long been a major avenue to the economic reality and the controlling economic ideas, especially those that have come into professional discussion with and since John Maynard Keynes. This is a major contribution, deserving the close attention of economists and all who seek accomplished economic guidance. I strongly recommend it. John Kenneth Galbraith, Harvard University, US Throughout the long, dark years of laissez-faire triumphalism, Paul Davidson lovingly tended the eternal flame of Keynes and ensured that it never went out. There is no better qualified economist to explain as this book does why Keynes is still relevant to a world pock-marked with the financial crises, poverty and unemployment that have resulted from neglecting his profound insights. Larry Elliott, The Guardian Paul Davidson investigates why the 1990s was a decade of financial crises that almost precipitated a global market crash. He explores the reasons why the global economy still struggles with the aftermath of these crises and discusses the possibility that volatile financial markets in the future will have real impacts on whole industries and national economic systems. The author highlights the central role that domestic and international financial markets play in determining the economic growth rate, unemployment rate and international payments position of capitalist economies. He explains why the primary function of financial markets is to create liquidity and demonstrates that a liquid market cannot be efficient, and an efficient market cannot be liquid. He also proves that preventing liquidity problems from developing in national and international financial markets is the key element in fostering prosperity. Statistical evidence and theoretical analysis are combined to demonstrate why orthodox prescriptions for liberalizing labor, product, and capital markets are the wrong policies for promoting a civilized society in the 21st century. Professional economists, financial reporters, government policy makers, those working in international economic organizations such as the IMF, the World Bank and the WTO, and concerned citizens will all benefit greatly from reading this highly acclaimed book.




Post-keynesian Theory Revisited


Book Description




Uncertainty in Economics


Book Description

The First Edition, published in 1978, brought together classic and modern thinking in the economics of uncertainty and provided the first text in the area. This Second Edition includes three new articles, added material on search theory, an additional preface, and updated references. Articles, introduced with brief commentaries, are divided into three broad sections: theory of choice under uncertainty, general equilibrium models of financial institutions, and models of the effects of uncertainty on market institutions.