Simulation-based Evaluation of Traffic Safety Performance Using Surrogate Safety Measures


Book Description

Traffic safety evaluation is one of the most important processes in the analysis of transportation systems performance. The use of traditional crash-data-oriented methodologies to analyze traffic safety problems has been frequently questioned due to shortcomings such as unavailability and low quality of historical crash data. The advancement of traffic conflict techniques and micro-simulation tools motivated this dissertation to develop a simulation-based approach of combining micro-simulation models and traffic conflict technique to investigate the safety issues in traffic systems. The proposed simulation-based approach consists of two major components: the development of surrogate safety measures; and the integration of the developed surrogate safety measures with micro-simulation models. In this dissertation, a new surrogate safety measure is derived and applied in micro-simulation models to capture the conflict risk of the interactions among vehicles. The conceptual and computational logics of the proposed surrogate safety indicator are described in detail. A calibration procedure that focuses on safety evaluation using the simulation model with the new surrogate measure has been proposed. The proposed calibration approach has been developed based on the stochastic gradient approximation algorithms to find optimal parameters of the stochastic traffic simulation models. The calibration methodology has been implemented on a selected traffic simulation platform to test its performance. Simulated operational measurements and traffic conflict risk in terms of the surrogate safety measure are quantified and compared with observations derived from high resolution vehicle trajectory data. The calibrated traffic model has also been validated by using independent vehicle trajectory data saved as a hold-out sample. The results show that the fine-tuning of parameters using the proposed calibration approach can significantly improve the performance of the simulation model to describe actual traffic conflict risk as well as operational performance. The applicability of the proposed new surrogate measure and the simulation-based safety evaluation approach using this surrogate measure has been successfully demonstrated through several cases studies. The overall findings can inform road safety investigators as to how operations-oriented simulation models in conjunction with the surrogate safety measure can complement traffic safety evaluation in cases to which traditional approaches are not applicable.




Safe Mobility


Book Description

This book increases the level of knowledge on road safety contexts, issues and challenges; shares what can currently be done to address the variety of issues; and points to what needs to be done to make further gains in road safety.







Next Generation Safety Performance Monitoring at Signalized Intersections Using Connected Vehicle Technology


Book Description

Crash-based safety evaluation is often hampered by randomness, lack of timeliness, and rarity of crash occurrences. Surrogate safety data are commonly used as an alternative to crash data; however, its current practice is still resource intensive and prone to human errors. The advent of connected vehicle technology allows vehicles to communicate with each other as well as infrastructure wirelessly. Through this platform, vehicle movements and signal status at the facilities can be automatically and continually monitored in real time. This study explores the viability of long-term safety performance evaluation at signalized intersection using connected vehicle technology. The development focuses on vehicle-to-infrastructure (V2I) communications which require one road-side equipment (RSE) and some level of on-board equipment to be successful. To accomplish the objective, the researchers defined useful safety measures and developed specific algorithms to derive them in real time from the V2I communication data sets. The safety measures were categorized into single-OBE measures and dual-OBE measure based on the number of the equipped vehicle needed to be monitored. We used vehicles trapped in dilemma zone as the single-OBE measure. The dual-OBE measures included rear-end and crossing conflicts. Different simulation scenarios were designed in VISSIM to test the effectiveness of the proposed framework, effect of market penetration rate as well as required observation period for effective implementation. The evaluation results indicated that the application can effectively detect changes in safety performance at full market penetration. It can detect a shift of crash pattern from rear-end crashes to right-angle crashes due to the shorted inter green interval at low traffic volume as well as the mitigation of this pattern during the medium-to-high traffic volume. The selected measures can also identify the increasing risk of rear-end and right-angle crashes after removing advance detectors at the major approaches. Sensitivity analysis from the 60 simulation hours' data showed that more than 40% and 60% penetration rate is likely to be required for a reliable detection in the low volume level and medium-to-high volume level, respectively. Increase of traffic volume activated the corresponding phases more frequently and may result in fewer safety measures being collected. Although losing the power of detection, single-OBE measure was demonstrated to be more reliable at lower penetration rate. Under low OBE market penetrations, observation period can be extended to compensate for small sample size. However, the required observation periods vary with the types of safety indicators being collected and the levels of OBE saturation. The electronic version of this dissertation is accessible from http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/152565




Use of Traffic Conflicts to Estimate Vehicle-pedestrian Safety at Signalized Intersections


Book Description

Understanding how vehicle drivers and pedestrians interact is key to identifying countermeasures that improve the safety of the interactions. As a result, techniques that can be used to evaluate the effectiveness of traffic control device-based safety countermeasures without the need to wait for the availability of crash data are needed. Using video data, the interactions between right-turning vehicles and conflicting pedestrians were documented for sites with a permissive circular green indication or a flashing yellow arrow (FYA) permissive right turn indication and quantified using vehicle and pedestrian position timestamps. Multiple non-probabilistic linear regression models were created to describe the relationship between the position of the pedestrian within the crosswalk and the time for a right turning vehicle maneuver to be completed. Given the nature of the models output, a Pedestrian Respect Indicator (PRI) is introduced as an indicator of the safety of vehicle-pedestrian interactions. The higher the PRI, the more "respect" towards pedestrians. Surrogate safety measures (SSMs) have allowed to step away from traditional approach and analyze safety performance without relying on crash records. In recent years, the use of surrogate measures to estimate crash probabilities with extreme value theory (EVT) models has been an alternative approach to its use as aggregate crash frequency predictors. Univariate and bivariate extreme value theory models were developed using the block maxima (BM) approach and the peak over threshold (POT) approach. In addition, Bayesian hierarchical models were developed for each approach. Using the resulting estimates, the number of crashes was estimated for each model. The estimated crashes from the Bayesian hierarchical models were closer to the observed number of crashes than those from other models. Time to complete a turn produced better fit models indicating that the time to complete a turn is a good representation of traffic interactions. Obtaining SSMs from video data requires complex processing and large video data sizes. A software-based framework to estimate SSMs, such as PET and time-to-collision (TTC) values between right-turn-on-red (RTOR) and through vehicles was proposed and it demonstrated the feasibility of using vehicle trajectories obtained from existing radar-based vehicle detection systems to calculate such measures.




Surrogate Safety Measures from Traffic Simulation Models


Book Description

"This project investigates the potential for deriving surrogate measures of safety from existing microscopic traffic simulation models for intersections. The process of computing the measures in the simulation, extracting the required data, and summarizing the results is denoted as the Surrogate Safety Assessment Methodology. These surrogate measures could then be used to support traffic engineering alternatives evaluation with respect to safety for both signalized and unsignalized intersections. The report describes the five main activities of this project: (1) review of previous work in modeling of safety at traffic facilities (focusing on intersection safety modeling) using surrogate measures, (2) survey of the capabilities of existing traffic simulation models to support derivation of surrogate measures of safety, (3) identification of use cases and functional requirements for a surrogate safety assessment tool that interacts with traffic simulation model outputs, (4) specification of algorithms for calculating surrogate measures of safety appropriate for intersections, and (5) suggestions for validation activities to support the analysis potential for surrogate measures and compare surrogate measures from simulation models with field data and previous safety studies"--Technical report documentation page.




Speed Management


Book Description

Speeding is the number one road safety problem in a large number of OECD/ECMT countries. It is responsible for around one third of the current, unacceptably high levels of road fatalities. Speeding has an impact not only on accidents but also on the ...




Utilities and Roadside Safety


Book Description




Proceedings of AICCE'19


Book Description

This book gathers the latest research, innovations, and applications in the field of civil engineering, as presented by leading national and international academics, researchers, engineers, and postgraduate students at the AWAM International Conference on Civil Engineering 2019 (AICCE’19), held in Penang, Malaysia on August 21-22, 2019. The book covers highly diverse topics in the main fields of civil engineering, including structural and earthquake engineering, environmental engineering, geotechnical engineering, highway and transportation engineering, water resources engineering, and geomatic and construction management. In line with the conference theme, “Transforming the Nation for a Sustainable Tomorrow”, which relates to the United Nations’ 17 Global Goals for Sustainable Development, it highlights important elements in the planning and development stages to establish design standards beneficial to the environment and its surroundings. The contributions introduce numerous exciting ideas that spur novel research directions and foster multidisciplinary collaborations between various specialists in the field of civil engineering.