Using SSM/I Data and Computer Vision to Estimate Tropical Cyclone Intensity


Book Description

Satellite imagery and other remote sensing products often provide the only observational data of tropical cyclones. This is especially true in the western Pacific where aircraft reconnaissance missions stopped in 1987. Manual estimate procedures using satellite imagery (Dvorak, 1984) provide valuable assistance in determining tropical cyclone intensity. An objective Dvorak technique (Velden, et al., 1998) is currently being studied to enhance the manual method. In an effort to take advantage of the unique characteristics (Hawkins, et al., 1998) of Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSM/I) data, one Naval Research Laboratory effort (outside the scope of this paper) involves the computation of empirical orthogonal functions of SSM/I tropical cyclone data and presenting those values as inputs to a neural network to estimate the tropical cyclone intensity at a given imagery time (May, et al., 1997). The algorithm applied in the research described here also uses SSM/l data, specifically the 85 GHz (H-pol) channel and a derived rain rate product. The 512x512 pixel imagery is cyclone-centered and image characteristics (computer vision features) are computed from the imagery data. A subset of these -features is presented to a pattern recognition algorithm (k-nearest neighbor) and an intensity estimate is provided as output. A description of the imagery characteristics (including available data and computer vision features) and feature selection methodology is provided in section two. Section three is a discussion of the algorithm used to automate the tropical cyclone intensity estimate and the current evaluation results.







The Use of Satellite Microwave Rainfall Measurements to Predict Eastern North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Intensity


Book Description

This proposed study examines the potential use of satellite passive microwave rainfall measurements derived from Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSM/I) radiometers onboard the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) constellation to improve eastern North Pacific Ocean tropical cyclone intensity change forecasting techniques. Relationships between parameters obtained from an operational SSM/I-based rainfall measuring algorithm and 12-, 24-, 36-, 48-, 60- and 72-hour intensity changes from best track data records are examined in an effort to identify statistically significant predictors of intensity change. Correlations between rainfall parameters and intensity change are analyzed using tropical cyclone data from three years, 1992 to 1994. Stratifications based upon tropical cyclone intensity, rate of intensity change, climatology, translation, landfall and synoptic-scale environmental forcing variables are studied to understand factors that may affect a statistical relationship between rainfall parameters and intensity change. The predictive skill of statistically significant rainfall parameters is assessed by using independent tropical cyclone data from another year, 1995. In addition, case studies on individual tropical cyclones are conducted to gain insight on predictive performance and operational implementation issues.










Frontiers of Remote Sensing Information Processing


Book Description

... This book covers the frontiers of remote sensors, especially with effective algorithms for signal/image processing and pattern recognition with remote sensing data. Sensor and data fusion issues, SAR images, hyperspectral images, and related special topics are also examined. Techniques making use of neural networks, wavelet transforms, and knowledge-based systems are emphasized. A special set of three chapters is devoted to seismic analysis and discrimination.







Feasibility of Using Cloud Top Altimetry for Estimating Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation


Book Description

This project explores whether cloud top altimetry can be used as an accurate and reliable means of estimating the intensity of tropical cyclones. Professor Kerry A. Emanuel developed the theory that is under investigation. His theory aims to calculate the peak surface wind speed in hurricanes using only three parameters, all of which can be collected from satellite imagery: cloud top height, sea surface temperature and cloud top temperature. Cloud top heights for selected hurricanes were obtained from the ICESat, and points were identified where the ICESat may have traversed the hurricanes. These points were compared with IR images to confirm the intersection of the ICESat track and the hurricane tracks. Out of 18 hurricanes examined, four provided feasible points to test this new technique. Two of these points were from hurricanes that were at the end stage of their life cycle; these two data points were discarded. Data from the two usable data points were compared to the recorded wind speeds from Unisys. It seems that the new method is overestimating the maximum surface wind speed by less than 10%. Two data points are insufficient for conclusively validating this technique. However, this project has established a viable method for gathering and analyzing altimetry data, providing a basis for further testing of the theory.




Advanced Numerical Modeling and Data Assimilation Techniques for Tropical Cyclone Predictions


Book Description

This book deals primarily with monitoring, prediction and understanding of Tropical Cyclones (TCs). It was envisioned to serve as a teaching and reference resource at universities and academic institutions for researchers and post-graduate students. It has been designed to provide a broad outlook on recent advances in observations, assimilation and modeling of TCs with detailed and advanced information on genesis, intensification, movement and storm surge prediction. Specifically, it focuses on (i) state-of-the-art observations for advancing TC research, (ii) advances in numerical weather prediction for TCs, (iii) advanced assimilation and vortex initialization techniques, (iv) ocean coupling, (v) current capabilities to predict TCs, and (vi) advanced research in physical and dynamical processes in TCs. The chapters in the book are authored by leading international experts from academic, research and operational environments. The book is also expected to stimulate critical thinking for cyclone forecasters and researchers, managers, policy makers, and graduate and post-graduate students to carry out future research in the field of TCs.




Monitoring and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones in the Indian Ocean and Climate Change


Book Description

This book deals with recent advances in our understanding and prediction of tropical cyclogenesis, intensification and movement as well as landfall processes like heavy rainfall, gale wind and storm surge based on the latest observational and numerical weather prediction (NWP) modeling platforms. It also includes tropical cyclone (TC) management issues like early warning systems, recent high impact TC events, disaster preparedness, assessment of risk and vulnerability including construction, archiving and retrieval of the best tracking and historical data sets, policy decision etc., in view of recent findings on climate change aspects and their impact on TC activity. The chapters are authored by leading experts, both from research and operational environments. This book is relevant to cyclone forecasters and researchers, managers, policy makers, graduate and undergraduate students. It intends to stimulate thinking and hence further research in the field of TCs and climate change, especially over the Indian Ocean region and provides high-quality reference materials for all the users mentioned above for the management of TCs over this region.