Modelling and Simulation


Book Description

This hands-on textbook/reference presents an introduction to the fundamental aspects of modelling and simulation, both for those wishing to learn about this methodology and also for those who have a need to apply it in their work. The text is supported by illustrative examples, drawn from projects formulated within the domains of discrete-event dynamic systems (DEDS) and continuous-time dynamic systems (CTDS). This updated new edition has been enhanced with new illustrative case studies, and additional examples demonstrating some new features and the effectiveness of the ABCmod conceptual modelling framework. Changes that facilitate the development of simulation models with ABSmod/J are illustrated. New material includes a presentation of the experimentation strategy called “design of experiments” and three new chapters that explore the optimization-simulation interface. Topics and features: presents a goal-based and project-oriented perspective of modelling and simulation; describes the ABCmod framework, an activity-based conceptual modelling framework for DEDS; examines the simulation-optimization interface in both the CTDS and DEDS domains; provides numerous illustrative examples, case studies and useful algorithms, as well as exercises and projects at the end of most chapters; includes appendices on probability and statistics, the GPSS programming environment, and relevant MATLAB features; provides supplementary software and teaching support material at an associated website, including lecture slides and a methodology for organizing student projects. Serving as an essential guide to the foundations of modelling and simulation, this practical primer is ideal for senior undergraduate and junior graduate-level students. Also suitable for self-study, the book will be of great benefit to professionals seeking insight into the vast potential of this rapidly evolving problem-solving paradigm.




Advanced Dynamic-System Simulation


Book Description

A unique, hands-on guide to interactive modeling and simulation of engineering systems This book describes advanced, cutting-edge techniques for dynamic system simulation using the DESIRE modeling/simulation software package. It offers detailed guidance on how to implement the software, providing scientists and engineers with powerful tools for creating simulation scenarios and experiments for such dynamic systems as aerospace vehicles, control systems, or biological systems. Along with two new chapters on neural networks, Advanced Dynamic-System Simulation, Second Edition revamps and updates all the material, clarifying explanations and adding many new examples. A bundled CD contains an industrial-strength version of OPEN DESIRE as well as hundreds of program examples that readers can use in their own experiments. The only book on the market to demonstrate model replication and Monte Carlo simulation of real-world engineering systems, this volume: Presents a newly revised systematic procedure for difference-equation modeling Covers runtime vector compilation for fast model replication on a personal computer Discusses parameter-influence studies, introducing very fast vectorized statistics computation Highlights Monte Carlo studies of the effects of noise and manufacturing tolerances for control-system modeling Demonstrates fast, compact vector models of neural networks for control engineering Features vectorized programs for fuzzy-set controllers, partial differential equations, and agro-ecological modeling Advanced Dynamic-System Simulation, Second Edition is a truly useful resource for researchers and design engineers in control and aerospace engineering, ecology, and agricultural planning. It is also an excellent guide for students using DESIRE.




System Dynamics Fast Guide: A Basic Tutorial with Examples for Modeling, Analysis and Simulate the Complexity of Business and Environmental System


Book Description

System Dynamics finds its main applications in the complex and ill-defined environments. System Dynamics is radically different from other techniques applied to the construction of models of socioeconomic systems, such as econometrics based on a behavioral approach. The basic objective of System Dynamics is to understand the structure that causes the behavior of the system. System Dynamics allows the construction of models after a careful analysis of the elements of the system. This book provides a clear and orderly vision of how to build a simulation model with System Dynamics.The System Dynamics finds its main applications in the complex and ill-defined environments, where the decisions of the human being intervene. The point of view of the System Dynamics is radically different from that of other techniques applied to the construction of models of socioeconomic systems, such as econometrics based on a behavioral approach. The basic objective of System Dynamics is to understand the structural causes that cause the behavior of the system.The System Dynamics allows the construction of models after a careful analysis of the elements of the system. This analysis allows to extract the internal logic of the model, and with it to try an understanding of the long-term evolution of the system.There is an extensive bibliography on System Dynamics, this book provides a clear and orderly vision of how to build a simulation model with this technique. It includes detailed modeling of environmental systems, business, social and physical systems.System DynamicsEnvironmental System Dynamics4.1. Population Growth 4.2. Modeling the Ecology of a Natural Reserve 4.3. Effects of the Intensive Farming 4.4. The Fishery of Shrimp 4.5. Rabbits and Foxes 4.6. A Study of Hogs 4.7. Ingestion of Toxins 4.8. The Barays of Angkor Business Dynamics4.9. Production and Inventory 4.10. CO2 Emissions 4.11. How to work more and better 4.12. Faults 4.13. Project Dynamics 4.14. Innovatory Companies 4.15. Quality Control 4.16. The impact of a Business Plan Social System Dynamics4.17. Filling a Glass 4.18. Dynamics of a Segmented Population 4.19. The Young Ambitious Worker 4.20. Development of an Epidemic 4.21. The Dynamics of Two Clocks Dynamics of Physical Systems4.22. The Tank 4.23. Study of the Oscillatory Movements 4.24. Design of a Chemical Reactor The diverse range of examples provided in this book, will allow readers to:- Build models without deep mathematical knowledge.- Simulate system behaviors and optimize complex systems.- Define strategies avoiding unintended consequences.- Evaluate the effectiveness of its policies.About the authorJuan Martín García is a worldwide recognized expert in System Dynamics, with more than twenty years of experience in this field. Ph.D. Industrial Engineer (Spain) and Postgraduated Diploma in Business Dynamics at Massachusetts Institute of Technology MIT (USA). It teaches Vensim online courses in http://vensim.com/vensim-online-courses/ based on System Dynamics.




Agent-Based Simulation of Vulnerability Dynamics


Book Description

This thesis constitutes an extraordinary innovative research approach in transferring the concepts and methods of complex systems to risk research. It ambitiously bridges the barriers between theoretical, empirical and methodical research work and integrates these fields into one comprehensive approach of dealing with uncertainty in socio-ecological systems. The developed agent-based simulation aims at the dynamics of social vulnerability in the considered system of the German North Sea Coast. Thus, the social simulation provides an analytical method to explore the individual, relational, and spatial aspects leading to dynamics of vulnerability in society. Combining complexity science and risk research by the method of agent-based simulation hereby emphasizes the importance of understanding interrelations inside the system for the system's development, i.e. for the evolving. Based on a vulnerability assessment regarding vulnerability characteristics, present risk behavior and self-protection preferences of private households against the impacts of flooding and storm surges, possible system trajectories could be explored by means of simulation experiments. The system-analytical approach therefore contributes to an integrated consideration of multi-dimensional and context-sensitv social phenomena such as vulnerability. Furthermore it achieves conceptually and strategically relevant implications for risk research and complex systems research.




Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics, + Website


Book Description

Insightful modelling of dynamic systems for better business strategy The business environment is constantly changing and organisations need the ability to rehearse alternative futures. By mimicking the interlocking operations of firms and industries, modelling serves as a ‘dry run’ for testing ideas, anticipating consequences, avoiding strategic pitfalls and improving future performance. Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics is an essential guide to credible models; helping you to understand modelling as a creative process for distilling and communicating those factors that drive business success and sustainability. Written by an internationally regarded authority, the book covers all stages of model building, from conceptual to analytical. The book demonstrates a range of in-depth practical examples that vividly illustrate important or puzzling dynamics in firm operations, strategy, public policy, and everyday life. This updated new edition also offers a rich Learners' website with models, articles and videos, as well as a separate Instructors' website resource, with lecture slides and other course materials (see Related Websites/Extra section below). Together the book and websites deliver a powerful package of blended learning materials that: Introduce the system dynamics approach of modelling strategic problems in business and society Include industry examples and public sector applications with interactive simulators and contemporary visual modelling software Provide the latest state-of-the-art thinking, concepts and techniques for systems modelling The comprehensive Learners' website features models, microworlds, journal articles and videos. Easy-to-use simulators enable readers to experience dynamic complexity in business and society. Like would-be CEOs, readers can re-design operations and then re-simulate in the quest for well-coordinated strategy and better performance. The simulators include a baffling hotel shower, a start-up low-cost airline, an international radio broadcaster, a diversifying tyre maker, commercial fisheries and the global oil industry. "Much more than an introduction, John Morecroft’s Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics uses interactive ‘mini-simulators and microworlds’ to create an engaging and effective learning environment in which readers, whatever their background, can develop their intuition about complex dynamic systems." John Sterman, Jay W. Forrester Professor of Management, MIT Sloan School of Management "Illustrated by examples from everyday life, business and policy, John Morecroft expertly demonstrates how systems thinking aided by system dynamics can improve our understanding of the world around us." Stewart Robinson, Associate Dean Research, President of the Operational Research Society, Professor of Management Science, School of Business and Economics, Loughborough University




Modeling and Simulation Support for System of Systems Engineering Applications


Book Description

“...a much-needed handbook with contributions from well-chosen practitioners. A primary accomplishment is to provide guidance for those involved in modeling and simulation in support of Systems of Systems development, more particularly guidance that draws on well-conceived academic research to define concepts and terms, that identifies primary challenges for developers, and that suggests fruitful approaches grounded in theory and successful examples.” Paul Davis, The RAND Corporation Modeling and Simulation Support for System of Systems Engineering Applications provides a comprehensive overview of the underlying theory, methods, and solutions in modeling and simulation support for system of systems engineering. Highlighting plentiful multidisciplinary applications of modeling and simulation, the book uniquely addresses the criteria and challenges found within the field. Beginning with a foundation of concepts, terms, and categories, a theoretical and generalized approach to system of systems engineering is introduced, and real-world applications via case studies and examples are presented. A unified approach is maintained in an effort to understand the complexity of a single system as well as the context among other proximate systems. In addition, the book features: Cutting edge coverage of modeling and simulation within the field of system of systems, including transportation, system health management, space mission analysis, systems engineering methodology, and energy State-of-the-art advances within multiple domains to instantiate theoretic insights, applicable methods, and lessons learned from real-world applications of modeling and simulation The challenges of system of systems engineering using a systematic and holistic approach Key concepts, terms, and activities to provide a comprehensive, unified, and concise representation of the field A collection of chapters written by over 40 recognized international experts from academia, government, and industry A research agenda derived from the contribution of experts that guides scholars and researchers towards open questions Modeling and Simulation Support for System of Systems Engineering Applications is an ideal reference and resource for academics and practitioners in operations research, engineering, statistics, mathematics, modeling and simulation, and computer science. The book is also an excellent course book for graduate and PhD-level courses in modeling and simulation, engineering, and computer science.




Annual Report


Book Description




Handbook of Dynamic System Modeling


Book Description

The topic of dynamic models tends to be splintered across various disciplines, making it difficult to uniformly study the subject. Moreover, the models have a variety of representations, from traditional mathematical notations to diagrammatic and immersive depictions. Collecting all of these expressions of dynamic models, the Handbook of Dynamic Sy