International Food Security Assessment, 2020-30


Book Description

In the 76 low- and middle-income countries examined in the report, the number of people considered food insecure in 2020 was estimated at almost 761 million people or 19.8 percent of the total population. The shock to GDP from COVID-19 is projected to increase the number of food-insecure people by 83.5 million people in 2020 to 844.5 million and increase the share of the population that is food insecure to 22 percent.




International Food Security Assessment, 2016-2026


Book Description

USDA's new International Food Security Assessment model is a demand-oriented framework that includes information on domestic prices, consumer responsiveness to changes in prices and incomes, and food quality differences by income groups. Given projections for lower food prices and rising incomes, food security for the 76 low- and middle-income countries included in this demand-oriented framework is expected to improve through 2016. The share of the population that is food insecure is projected to fall from 17% in 2016 to 6% in 2026. The number of food-insecure people is projected to fall markedly, 59%, which matches the decline in the intensity of food insecurity, at the aggregate level. Figures and tables. This is a print on demand report.




The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2020


Book Description

Updates for many countries have made it possible to estimate hunger in the world with greater accuracy this year. In particular, newly accessible data enabled the revision of the entire series of undernourishment estimates for China back to 2000, resulting in a substantial downward shift of the series of the number of undernourished in the world. Nevertheless, the revision confirms the trend reported in past editions: the number of people affected by hunger globally has been slowly on the rise since 2014. The report also shows that the burden of malnutrition in all its forms continues to be a challenge. There has been some progress for child stunting, low birthweight and exclusive breastfeeding, but at a pace that is still too slow. Childhood overweight is not improving and adult obesity is on the rise in all regions. The report complements the usual assessment of food security and nutrition with projections of what the world may look like in 2030, if trends of the last decade continue. Projections show that the world is not on track to achieve Zero Hunger by 2030 and, despite some progress, most indicators are also not on track to meet global nutrition targets. The food security and nutritional status of the most vulnerable population groups is likely to deteriorate further due to the health and socio economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. The report puts a spotlight on diet quality as a critical link between food security and nutrition. Meeting SDG 2 targets will only be possible if people have enough food to eat and if what they are eating is nutritious and affordable. The report also introduces new analysis of the cost and affordability of healthy diets around the world, by region and in different development contexts. It presents valuations of the health and climate-change costs associated with current food consumption patterns, as well as the potential cost savings if food consumption patterns were to shift towards healthy diets that include sustainability considerations. The report then concludes with a discussion of the policies and strategies to transform food systems to ensure affordable healthy diets, as part of the required efforts to end both hunger and all forms of malnutrition.




International Food Security Assessment, 2014-2024


Book Description

Food insecurity in the 76 countries included in this report (low- and middle-income countries as classified by the World Bank that are or have been receiving food aid and are experiencing or have experienced food insecurity) is expected to remain virtually unchanged, but with some distributional changes, between 2012 and 2013. The total number of food-insecure people is estimated at 707 million in 2013, up 3 million from 2012. Over the longer term, the food security situation is projected to deteriorate. Food-insecure people are defined as those consuming less than the nutritional target of roughly 2,100 calories per day per person. By 2023, the number of food-insecure people is projected to increase nearly 23 percent to 868 million, slightly faster than population growth. As a result, the share of the population that is food insecure is projected to increase from 20.4 percent to 21.5 percent. The distribution gap—the amount of additional food needed to bring people in all income deciles up to the nutritional target—is projected to increase 28 percent by 2023, meaning that food insecurity in these countries is expected to intensify over the next 10 years. Despite improvements over the years, Sub-Saharan Africa is projected to remain the most food-insecure region in the world.




International Food Security Assessment, 2019-29


Book Description

The share of food-insecure people in the 76 low- and middle-income countries included in this report is projected to fall from 19.3 percent in 2019 to 9.2 percent in 2029. The number of food-insecure people is projected to fall markedly, 45 percent, which is faster than the decline in the intensity of food insecurity, at the aggregate level.




Impacts of COVID-19 on food security: Panel data evidence from Nigeria


Book Description

This paper combines pre-pandemic face-to-face survey data with follow up phone surveys collected in April-May 2020 to quantify the overall and differential impacts of COVID-19 on household food security, labor market participation and local food prices in Nigeria. We exploit spatial variation in exposure to COVID-19 related infections and lockdown measures along with temporal differences in our outcomes of interest using a difference-in-difference approach. We find that those households exposed to higher COVID-19 cases or mobility lockdowns experience a significant increase in measures of food insecurity. Examining possible transmission channels for this effect, we find that COVID-19 significantly reduces labor market participation and increases food prices. We find that impacts differ by economic activities and households. For instance, lockdown measures increased households' experience of food insecurity by 12 percentage points and reduced the probability of participation in non-farm business activities by 13 percentage points. These lockdown measures have smaller impacts on wage-related activities and farming activities. In terms of food security, households relying on non-farm businesses, poorer households, those with school-aged children, and those living in remote and conflicted-affected zones have experienced relatively larger deteriorations in food insecurity. These findings can help inform immediate and medium-term policy responses, including social protection policies aiming at ameliorating the impacts of the pandemic, as well as guide targeting strategies of governments and international donor agencies by identifying the most impacted sub-populations.




International Food Security Assessment 2014-2024


Book Description

Food insecurity in the 76 low- and middle-income countries included in this report is expected to improve between 2013 and 2014. The 76 countries are classified by the World Bank as receiving or have received food aid and are experiencing or have experienced food insecurity. The number of food-insecure people is projected to fall 9%, from 539 million in 2013 to 490 million in 2014. Over the longer term, the food security situation is projected to deteriorate as the share of population that is food insecure moves from 13.9% in 2014 to 14.6% in 2024. Food-insecure people are defined as those consuming less than the nutritional target of roughly 2,100 calories per day per person.Despite improvements over the years, Sub-Saharan Africa is projected to remain the most food insecure region in the world. Tables and figures. This is a print on demand report.







International Food Security Assessment, 2023-2033


Book Description

Food security is estimated to improve in 2023 in the 83 low- and middle-income countries examined by USDA's Economic Research Service in the International Food Security Assessment. Due to growth in per capita income and the easing of international and domestic food commodity prices, 228.9 million fewer people will face food insecurity relative to 2022. However, estimated food insecurity remains elevated due to the lingering effects of the Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, high food commodity prices, and risks associated with the ongoing Russian military invasion of Ukraine. Despite challenges in the near-term outlook, food security is projected to improve in the next 10 years. By 2033, the number of food insecure people in the 83 IFSA countries is projected to be 385.9 million, 66.1 percent less than the number of people than in 2023.




Food Security Assessment


Book Description