The Truth About Using Facts AND Intuition in Decision Making


Book Description

This is the eBook version of the printed book. This Element is an excerpt from The Truth About Making Smart Decisions (9780132354639) by Robert E. Gunther. Available in print and digital formats. How to combine knowledge and intuition to consistently make better decisions. I recently kayaked down the Grand Canyon. There are scorpions and 14 different kinds of rattlesnakes, cliffs and rocks that can break limbs, and some of the West’s biggest water. That trip offered plenty of ways to be injured or killed. But what actually almost killed me had nothing to do with the risks I’d identified before I left. It was a simple toe infection....




Judgment Misguided


Book Description

People often follow intuitive principles of decision making, ranging from group loyalty to the belief that nature is benign. But instead of using these principles as rules of thumb, we often treat them as absolutes and ignore the consequences of following them blindly. In Judgment Misguided, Jonathan Baron explores our well-meant and deeply felt personal intuitions about what is right and wrong, and how they affect the public domain. Baron argues that when these intuitions are valued in their own right, rather than as a means to another end, they often prevent us from achieving the results we want. Focusing on cases where our intuitive principles take over public decision making, the book examines some of our most common intuitions and the ways they can be misused. According to Baron, we can avoid these problems by paying more attention to the effects of our decisions. Written in a accessible style, the book is filled with compelling case studies, such as abortion, nuclear power, immigration, and the decline of the Atlantic fishery, among others, which illustrate a range of intuitions and how they impede the public's best interests. Judgment Misguided will be important reading for those involved in public decision making, and researchers and students in psychology and the social sciences, as well as everyone looking for insight into the decisions that affect us all.




Bursting the Big Data Bubble


Book Description

As we get caught up in the quagmire of Big Data and analytics, it remains critically important to be able to reflect and apply insights, experience, and intuition to your decision-making process. In fact, a recent research study at Tel Aviv University found that executives who relied on their intuition were 90 percent accurate in their decisions.Bu




Thinking, Fast and Slow


Book Description

Major New York Times bestseller Winner of the National Academy of Sciences Best Book Award in 2012 Selected by the New York Times Book Review as one of the ten best books of 2011 A Globe and Mail Best Books of the Year 2011 Title One of The Economist's 2011 Books of the Year One of The Wall Street Journal's Best Nonfiction Books of the Year 2011 2013 Presidential Medal of Freedom Recipient Kahneman's work with Amos Tversky is the subject of Michael Lewis's The Undoing Project: A Friendship That Changed Our Minds In his mega bestseller, Thinking, Fast and Slow, Daniel Kahneman, the renowned psychologist and winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics, takes us on a groundbreaking tour of the mind and explains the two systems that drive the way we think. System 1 is fast, intuitive, and emotional; System 2 is slower, more deliberative, and more logical. The impact of overconfidence on corporate strategies, the difficulties of predicting what will make us happy in the future, the profound effect of cognitive biases on everything from playing the stock market to planning our next vacation—each of these can be understood only by knowing how the two systems shape our judgments and decisions. Engaging the reader in a lively conversation about how we think, Kahneman reveals where we can and cannot trust our intuitions and how we can tap into the benefits of slow thinking. He offers practical and enlightening insights into how choices are made in both our business and our personal lives—and how we can use different techniques to guard against the mental glitches that often get us into trouble. Winner of the National Academy of Sciences Best Book Award and the Los Angeles Times Book Prize and selected by The New York Times Book Review as one of the ten best books of 2011, Thinking, Fast and Slow is destined to be a classic.




What Makes a Leader


Book Description

This book is a collection of the author's writings, previously published in the Harvard Business Review and other business journals, on leadership and emotional intelligence. The material has become essential reading for leaders, coaches and educators committed to fostering stellar management, increasing performance, and driving innovation. The collection reflects the evolution of Dr. Goleman's thinking about emotional intelligence, tracking the latest neuroscientific research on the dynamics of relationships, and the latest data on the impact emotional intelligence has on an organization's bottom-line. --







The Truth About Making Better Decisions


Book Description

This is the eBook version of the printed book. This Element is an excerpt from The Truth About Making Smart Decisions (9780132354639) by Robert E. Gunther. Available in print and digital formats. Get serious about your decision-making by transforming your choices from “abstract” to “concrete.” Get real. If you want to consider a decision seriously, move it from an abstract idea to a concrete reality. When motorists were asked about buying cleaner gasoline “in the abstract,” they were all for it, but when it came down to paying extra at the pump, that was different. Making decisions more concrete will change the way you approach them.







What Was I Thinking?


Book Description

Description The 1990s were presidentially proclaimed the decade of the brain. Owing in large part to the work on the neuroscience and clinical applications from that initiative, we are now on the verge of breakthroughs in learning how the subconscious mind affects the decisions we’re continually making. For instance, your unconscious mind has already made the decision whether to buy this book, but you probably don’t know that yet. First you got a feeling, an intuitive nudge supplied from the unconscious mind. Next, the conscious mind defends or disagrees with that emotion. Your final decision may not be as completely straightforward as you would like to believe. I’m sure this introduction to the world of your mind, as a product of, yet distinct from, your brain, has a few surprises in store for you. Whether you think of yourself as more of a rational person or someone who tends to go more with your feelings and intuition, you’ll find these two ways of thinking intertwined in a rich fabric made for your enjoyment. Blue Ink Review Gates divides our decision-making processes into two systems: System 1 is intuitive, unconscious, fast acting and effortless. System 2 is rational, conscious, deliberate, slower than System 1, and susceptible to fatigue. While many people think that their decisions are based on the discursive, rational System 2, in fact the intuitive System 1 is often in control – and in ways that are elusive. Gates explores not only the particular heuristics that tend to fool us but also why it is so hard to change them. Full of anecdotes and snippets from revealing psychological experiments, Gates’s work is no dry philosophical tome. It is written in a popular style and will be accessible to a wide audience. Readers of Malcolm Gladwell’s work, especially his popular book Blink, are likely to find Gates’s work a breezy, thought-provoking read. Foreword Review This accessible book is for those who are intrigued by the human mind and want to know why they, and others, do what they do. What Was I Thinking? The Subconscious in Decision-Making by Chris Gates brings the insight and mystery of brain science and psychology to the masses. While decision making is a skill that people can develop and articulate over time, most people experience mystifying moments when they ask the question in the title. Gates tackles the mystery with facts, compiling research that explores how people make decisions, why the mind prioritizes the inputs it does, and to what extent the mind adapts to new information. This book will appeal to other first-person researchers who are intrigued by the human mind and want to know why they, and others, do what they do. Anyone fascinated by the innovations in brain science and understanding will find Gates’s devotion to detail compelling. The back matter is uncommonly useful. The glossary presents in-depth, thoroughly explained definitions for people new to the material. The appendixes offer interesting, almost brainteaser-like studies of the mind. What Was I Thinking? asks and explores the answer to the question that haunts ordinary thinkers. Kirkus A thoroughly researched, pop-culture–laden exploration of how people make choices. A surprisingly poignant, intellectually rigorous study of how our thought processes shape our lives.